Wednesday 8 October 2014

Trade4Target : Daily Updates 8/10/2014

Mkt may fall 5% further; IT still attractive  - Trade4Target

The current market fall is likely to fall anything between 3 to 5 percent and may find a floor at those levels, says C Jayaram, joint managing director, Kotak Mahindra Bank. Speaking to CNBC-TV18, Jayaram says the market has run up a lot post the general elections and is cooling off now. But for any rally now, the market will need some robust global or economic triggers.

Information technology (IT) still continues to be an attractive place despite the run up seen. “The US market is doing well and it is slated to do even better and that will increase the demand for IT companies.

Today Stock Tips

IFGL Refractories ltd (Small Cap) Multibagger Potential

Duration:6-9 months
Return percentage:50%

Indo Flogates which was founded in 1979 managed to collaborate with Flogates, UK in 1983 for manufacturing of Slide Gate Mechanism & Refractories. The joint venture was with Flogates Ltd, UK and an exclusive Indian Licensee of Flocon Slide Gate Systems, developed by US Steel Corporation through their wholly-owned subsidiary USS Engineers and Consultants Inc. On the other hand, Mr. SK Bajoria founded IFGL Refractories in 1993 in collaboration with Harima Ceramic Co., Japan. In 1999, both the companies merged to come into the current form of existence.Over the past decade, the company has scaled up its operations significantly, both, organically and inorganically. During these years, the company made several acquisitions and also set up a few greenfield capacities to evolve from a single manufacturing facility to current eight capacities with across the globe distribution presence.

we expect company to achieve a turnover of Rs.1000 crores by FY16 and a slight improvement in the EBITDA margin of 16% with the improved utilizations of current capacities and debottlenecking exercises being undertaken and savings on tax and logistics costs from Kandla facility. Strong free cash flow generation, strengthened balance sheet and comfortable valuations are added advantage. Assigning an EV/EBITDA of 6x (In a good market, it has historically traded at 10x) and Price/Sales ratio of 1.0x (historically traded at 1.3x), we expect market capitalization should be somewhat in the region of Rs.900-1000 crores that showcases huge potential upside from current levels. We strongly believe that with the recent growth, increased size of the company, wider coverage, leadership position in the industry, the company has all the reasons to trade beyond the historical multiples.

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