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Thursday, 9 October 2014
Low crude prices good for India and indian stock market
According to Richard Gibbs of Macquarie Securities reduced crude prices goes in favour of the Indian economy and gives RBI a scope for monetary accommodation Richard Gibbs Global HD, Macquarie More about the Expert Richard Gibbs, Global Head of Macquarie Securities is upbeat on India because he thinks there is room for structural expansion and the demand is much better than anywhere else in the world. According to him reduced crude prices goes in favour of the Indian economy and gives RBI a scope for monetary accommodation. It is also likely to produce some tailwind for the global economy. "It certainly provides latitude on the trade side but also in terms of the inflation side for the economy as well." The house remains a buyer on India.
Are we now facing a fairly big challenge to global growth and therefore are risk assets going to head lower? A: I think the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is articulating that fairly well as we move into the IMF World Bank annual meeting in the next few days. It really is a case where the US is I suppose the best if you see IMF’s parlance and that’s for investors who have been searching for growth is a disappointment. So, now I suspect we are going to have people turning back towards in search for yield and that has become difficult as well with the expansion in quantitative easing measures around the world but most particularly by the European Central Bank of course. At the end of the day lower crude prices are probably growth positive and the issue there is whether they pertaining further disinflationary pressure/deflationary pressure in the major economies. Certainly for an economy like India, cooling in crude pricesis a positive. It certainly provides latitude on the trade side but also in terms of the inflation side for the economy as well. It’s a bit of a two-edged sword as I suppose in that sense but overall lower crude prices are likely to produce some tailwind for the global economy.